The Lacuna Project

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Exhibit 171

Estimating deaths due to medical error: the ongoing controversy and why it matters

Exhibit 171 · Journal analysis

Estimating deaths due to medical error: the ongoing controversy and why it matters

Makary's and Daniel's estimate that over 250 000 of those are preventable implies that around a third (or more) of inpatient deaths result from medical error or preventable adverse events.

Around 700,000 deaths occur in US hospitals annually, so Makary and Daniel's estimate that over 250,000 of those are preventable implies that around a third (or more) of inpatient deaths result from medical error or preventable adverse events. Three of the studies behind the figure contained 14, 12 and 9 deaths, and the authors write that Makary and Daniel "did not apply any established methodology for quantitative synthesis." The authors re-estimate preventable deaths at something like 25,000 a year, at a 3.6 percent preventable rate, refer in closing to "implausible estimates," and write that the narrow focus on preventable death "risks distracting attention" from non-fatal harm.

Source
Shojania and Dixon-Woods, BMJ Quality & Safety 26(5):423–428
Date
May 2017 (online October 2016)
Quoted from
Section "Why the fuss? What harm could come from estimating so many deaths due to medical error?"; preceding sentence: "Around 700 000 deaths occur in US hospitals annually."
Grade
Peer-reviewed
Document
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjqs-2016-006144
Accessed
2026-11-09
Cited by
Findings citing this exhibit
Note
Known through PSNet, McGill OSS and abstract-level summaries.

Cited by

Finding MED-9.1
Peer-reviewed Published estimates of US deaths caused by medical care range from about 22,000 to about 251,000 a year. The range comes from what each study counts.
Finding MED-9.4
Open question No direct, contemporary study measures how many US hospital deaths are preventable. Every national figure is an extrapolation from small, old or foreign samples.