The Lacuna Project

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Exhibit 694

Relative Policy Support and Coincidental Representation

Exhibit 694 ยท Peer-reviewed article

Relative Policy Support and Coincidental Representation

even on those issues for which the preferences of the wealthy and those in the middle diverge, policy ends up about where we would expect if policymakers represented the middle class and ignored the affluent.

Re-analyzes the Gilens data (Enns counts 1,836 survey questions). Preference gaps between income groups do not imply unequal representation when both groups rank policies similarly. Correlation of 50th and 90th percentile support is r=.94 unadjusted; r=.68 among the 18 percent of policies where the groups differ by more than 10 points. About 66 percent of predicted adoption values built from middle-income preferences fall inside the 95 percent intervals of the affluent-based values. Partisan analysis uses only surveys from 1999-2002 (policies enacted 2000-2004): strong Republicans' support predicts adoption (b=.79, se .25), strong Democrats' does not (b=.10, se .17); strong-partisan support correlates only r=.43 (r=.21 where gaps exceed 10 points). Enns notes the period was one of Republican control of Congress. He also affirms the status quo bias finding and warns against an overly sanguine portrait of inequality.

Source
Peter K. Enns, Perspectives on Politics 13(4), pp. 1053-1064 (Reflections Symposium)
Date
December 2015
Quoted from
Abstract, p. 1053
Grade
Peer-reviewed
Document
https://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592715002315
Accessed
2026-11-09
Cited by
Findings citing this exhibit

Cited by

Finding POL-2.6
Peer-reviewed Enns found that support for proposed policies among the 50th and 90th income percentiles correlates at r=.94, and at r=.68 among the 18 percent of policies where the two groups differ by more than 10 points. About 66 percent of adoption values predicted from middle-income preferences fall inside the 95 percent intervals of the values predicted from affluent preferences.
Finding POL-2.7
Peer-reviewed In the 1999 to 2002 surveys of the Gilens data, Enns found that the preferences of Strong Republicans predicted policy adoption (b=.79) and the preferences of Strong Democrats did not (b=.10). Enns describes the period as one of Republican control of Congress.